Nate Silver pointed to some "hidden good news" for Democrats in this year's election results. Republicans had a solid showing ...

Trump swept to victory, winning 295 Electoral College votes so far, but Harris had been predicted to win by almost every ...

Pollster Nate Silver said he believes there is “hidden good news” for Democrats in the 2024 election results, despite the ...

The pollster released a long blog post detailing why Trump won and took down his election model, which had predicted a Harris win.

When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not ...

The founder of Aaru told Semafor that despite getting most predictions wrong, its model still “did well” and is faster and ...

Silly you for not realizing the expression “a coin toss” could mean 51/47 on the popular vote and 312 electoral college votes ... word “if” doing a lot of work there. The other Nate, Nate Silver, ...

Lichtman is known as the “Nostradamus” of election predictions after accurately predicting nine of the 10 presidential ...

And, while most pollsters had predicted a narrowing margin between Harris and Trump in the popular vote, almost all showed ...

the Republican president-elect won the electoral college with 277 votes beating his opponent ... Trump before Election Day ...

“Unlike Nate Silver, who will try to squirm out of why he didn’t ... He certainly was not predicting a Trump Electoral College landslide,” Lichtman wrote on X. “And he said don’t trust my gut. So once ...