When randomness is out the window, the probability underpinnings for predictions are gone.

The Trump victory is quite widespread across the state, but it’s not very deep in percentage terms,” Franklin said ...

Allan Lichtman, the American University professor and election forecaster who accurately predicted nine of the last 10 ...

Trump has outperformed polling predictions in the last three elections. Here are one pollster's takeaways from 2024 election ...

Longtime Republican pollster Frank Luntz on Sunday argued that Kamala Harris did “too much defining” of President-elect ...

Famed election forecaster Allan Lichtman has revealed that he has received terrifying death threats since wrongly predicting ...

Ann Selzer is "reviewing her data" to determine why her poll, which set off a multi-day media firestorm, inaccurately ...

An Iowa pollster is facing intense backlash on social media after Trump cruised to victory in the Hawkeye State despite the ...

Selzer, who accurately predicted Donald Trump's 2016 and 2020 Iowa wins, now has Harris three points ahead of him in the ...

Veteran Republican pollster Frank Luntz has accused Kamala Harris ’ campaign advisers of committing “political malpractice” for fixating on Donald Trump’s flaws rather than telling the electorate ...

The Iowa pollster who surprised pundits and politicians alike over the weekend with a poll showing Kamala Harris leading ...